ABSTRACT
Objective To analyze the change in transmissibility of novel coronavirus pneumonia and predict the trend of the incidence, and to provide a reference for the government to better respond to the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic. Methods The EpiEstimof R language software was used to estimate the change of effective basic reproduction number, and the Richards model was run by Matlab7.0 software to fit the cumulative number of confirmed cases and the number of suspected cases. The coefficient of determination and root mean squared error were used to evaluate the fitting effect of the model. Results A total of 75 confirmed cases and 107 suspected cases were reported in Ningxia. The strict implementation of various prevention and control measures gradually reduced the effective basic reproduction number from 3.82 to less than 1, indicating that the epidemic was under control. The Richards model was used to fit the cumulative confirmed cases and suspected cases, which revealed that the natural growth rates were 0.16 and 0.23, and the coefficients of determination were 0.991 and 0.998, respectively. Conclusion Combined with the effective basic reproduction number, the Richards model fitted the trend of novel coronavirus pneumonia, which can be used to predict the trend of incidence of new coronavirus pneumonia.
ABSTRACT
Objective To analyze the correlation of primary hyperuricemia and apolipoprotein E gene polymorphism between Hui and Han nationalities in Ningxia , and provide data for disease control and prevention .Methods Blood sam-ples,obtained from 900 cases at some medical institutions for case-control study, were detected for gene polymorphism of apolipoprotein E by connecting the enzyme reaction .Results and Conclusion There was no statistically significant differ-ence in the blood uric acid level in different nationality groups between the case group and the control group .Creatinine, fasting blood glucose, total cholesterol, triglycerides, and body mass index were considered risk factors of hyperuricemia . There was no statistically significant difference in apolipoprotein E genotype and allele frequency between different nationali -ties and genders in case group and control group .There might be no correlation of primary hyperuricemia and apolipoprotein E gene polymorphism .